Looking at the recent polling and analysis going into the upcoming PA primary on April 22nd, I realized that a Clinton win in PA will really not mean much, other than maybe a little perceived momentum.

A recent CQ Politics article outlines the possible delegate totals from PA when all is said and done.

And a CQ Politics analysis of the political circumstances in Pennsylvania’s congressional districts, detailed below, projects an edge to Clinton — but by just 53 district-level delegates to 50 for Obama under the Democratic Party’s proportional distribution rules.

These numbers suggest that Clinton, even with a victory in Pennsylvania, would make only a small incremental gain against Obama’s overall lead in the delegate race.

So, unless Clinton were to completely blow it out, which recent polls have indicated will not happen, a PA victory really mean much in terms or getting closer to securing the nomination.

On top of that, Obama has managed to gain significant ground in PA, where Clinton was holding a steady 20-point lead at one point. That has been cut down to just 5-6 points depending on the poll you are looking at any given time.

So, if she were to only win by say 6-8 points, then Obama is really the victor because to come back from a 20-point deficit and keep it real close, is much better than Clinton being able to pull out a 6-8 point win in the state.

If these numbers hold steady after the recent “Bitter-Gate” controversy, then Obama should really consider himself as the true victor in PA. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton will only have gained a few delegates on him and the race will still be heavily leaned towards Obama.

Add to that a strong victory in NC, which recent polls show Obama leading by as much as 20 points, and it really starts looking rather grim for Sen. Clinton. Indiana appears to be favoring Clinton, but again, the little she would make up with a win is very minute in the long run.

Obviously, I don’t have to tell you what a PA win for Obama would do to this race. If that were to happen, lights out for sure.

Should be interesting to watch though, the recent polls are all over the place but in the end, I think Clinton pulls out in PA, but it really won’t matter much honestly.

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